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Tuesday, March 12, 2019

Benford’s Law Essay

Benfords law, aka first-digit law, states that in lists of meter of of course occurring entropy, the jumper cable digit is distributed in a specific, non- supply way. In number sequences, closely people assume that in a string of total sampled at random all nine numbers would be equally probable for the leading digit. Benfords Law states otherwise. He strand that the number 1 entrust appear first about 30% of the time and the number 9 will further appear first around 4.5%. Naturally occurring prat be anything from check amounts or stock prices to lengths of rivers.Benfords law is both scale invariant and base invariant. If something is scale invariant that means if you multiply every number in the list by the same constant, it does non significantly change the distribution. For example, it does not matter whether the numbers are establish on the dollar prices of stocks or their prices in Yen or Euros. Mathematicians pick out found that the larger and more varied the samp ling of numbers from antithetical data sets, the more closely the distribution of numbers approaches Benfords Law.Benfords Law does have limitations. Benfords Law does not apply to uniform or non-naturally occurring data sets. Examples of non-naturally occurring data sets are made up of pre-assigned numbers like zip codes or UPC numbers. Benfords law can only be applied to data that are distributed across multiple orders of magnitude. Moreover, if there is any cut-off which excludes a portion of the underlying data above a maximum value or below a minimum value, past the law will not apply.Benfords law has many applications. several(prenominal) countries, states, large corporations and accounting firms use detection software based on Benfords Law. Benfords Law is apply in the accounting trading to detect fraud. It can be a powerful and simple musical instrument for detecting frauds, embezzlers, tax evaders, inaccurate accounting and computer glitches. Dr. Mark Nigrini used Ben fords Law to test the first digit in around 170,000 IRS model files. Dr. Nigrini found that these lines follow Benfords Law very closely. He then used Benfords Law on fraudulent data taken from Kings County, New York District Attorneys Office. The fraudulent data consisted of cash disbursements and payrolls, none of which followed Benfords Law. In general, Dr. Nigrini found that fraudulent or concocted data have far less numbers beginning with 1 and far more numbers beginning with 6 than true data do.

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